Friday, July 8, 2016

Fwd: VC Confessions: I Don’t Really Care About Your Product Demo



VC Confessions: I Don't Really Care About Your Product Demo


VC Confessions: I Don't Really Care About Your Product Demo

Posted: 07 Jul 2016 05:00 AM PDT

image002

A version of this article previously appeared in Forbes.

It happens during nearly every fundraising pitch meeting. The entrepreneur cannot wait to show me their product via a demo. As politely as I can, I dissuade them and explain that there are other ways I prefer to spend our precious time together.

Most entrepreneurs seem confused by my reaction and often say something like: "VCs love demos. You're the first one I've met who didn't want to see our product." I then explain that I evaluate the veracity of a product by seeking guidance from current, past and prospective users, rather than relying on a product demonstration.

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Note: I invest almost exclusively in b-to-b software companies. My "no demo" approach is clearly not appropriate when assessing the veracity of investments with a hardware component or with a consumer facing product.

Don't Demo Me Bro

Assessing an entrepreneur's influence and persuasion skills is important, but I can do this by observing their fundraising pitch rather than listening to a well-rehearsed product overview.

There are six reasons I'd rather not spend my limited time with a company's Founder(s) sitting passively through a demonstration.

1.  Monologue – Although it is possible to interrupt a Founder's speal with questions, demos tend to be one-way discussions. When investors do interject, demos typically become even more pedantic, as Founders feel compelled to speak expansively about specific features in an attempt address the investor's concerns.

2. Comfort – Demos allow Founders to slip into a formulated script, which is seldom revealing. My goal isn't necessarily to make a Founder uncomfortable during a pitch meeting, but the experience is typically more rewarding and informative for all parties when we have a give-and-take conversation.

3. Fool A Fool – I sold surgical robots from PowerPoint slides in the early 1990's, before the robots existed. We weren't trying to fool anyone (we disclosed that we needed prepaid orders to build the robots), but we certainly were selling a vision. I also pitched an expert marketplace to some of the world's largest ISPs as a support tool, nine-months before the product was optimized for that purpose.

As such, I understand the degree to which hand waving and vaporware can influence investors and potential customers. Demos inherently encourage such hand waving, blurring the line between which features are available today and which are still on the product roadmap.

4. GUI Fever – Entrepreneurs are often justifiably proud of their clever, clean user interfaces. However, I am indifferent. 

An interface that is engaging can fool customers into trying a sub-par product. In contrast, an ugly interface may not show well in a demo and could turn off a potential investor. However, if a product with a mediocre GUI is consistently adopted by customers, it may signal a lucrative investment opportunity.

5. Sales Mode – Demos intrinsically cause Founders to launch into sales mode. Rather than be sold, I'd much prefer to understand a product's value proposition and the extent to which it has achieved fit among the company's target market customers. Such understanding is more difficult to achieve when you are forced to parse through a scripted monologue.

6. Regular Salesperson – Founders can obviate product weaknesses via their force of will and passion. Thus, in the occasional instances when I do sit through demos, I prefer they be conducted by a rank-and-file salesperson. This approach provides me with a view that is more representative of how a typical customer is introduced to the company's value proposition.

Customers Are All That Matter

At Rincon Venture Partners, our approach to diligence isn't the old-school methodology of forcing entrepreneurs to deal with an expensive expert who spends weeks performing a largely academic exercise of assessing the company's tech stack and code, all the while asking irrelevant questions intended to assure the investors that she is truly an expert and that they are getting their money's worth.

In contrast, we value entrepreneurs' time and thus our diligence generally includes introducing them to potential customers and partners. Our approach, which is certainly not unique, often results in sales, partnerships and otherwise productive relationships. In turn, we receive unfiltered, frank feedback regarding the company's product, team and value prop.

Entrepreneurs often suggest customer references that arose from a highly curated introduction or prior relationship. These conversations are helpful, but we attribute more value to discussions with customers who came upon the company's product on their own. Because of this reality, we also seek references from customers that have an arms-length, dispassionate relationship with the company. Such customers tend to provide more frank and objective feedback that is infinitely more helpful than the slickest product demo.

You can follow John on Twitter: @johngreathouse.

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Sunday, July 3, 2016

Fwd: what won’t change in 20 years?


I'm constantly inquiring about the impact of exponential change over the next 20 years…

An equally important question: what won't change over the next two decades?

This blog addresses that question.

For entrepreneurs, understanding what is constant and what is changing can give you an enormous competitive edge on those who don't.

I'd love to know what YOU think won't change. Tweet your ideas to me @peterdiamandis with the hashtag #notchanging.

Constants: Lessons from Amazon's Jeff Bezos

The first time I heard this question answered was from Amazon's CEO Jeff Bezos.

Jeff was on stage at a press event, and a reporter asked him, "Jeff, what do you think is going to change most in the next 10 years?"

Jeff replied, "That's a good question. But a better question is: What's not going to change in the next 10-20 years?"

He went on to say that, from his perspective at Amazon, what won't change is people's desire for lower prices and faster delivery.

Accordingly, Jeff built Amazon to focus on and invest billions into figuring out how to lower prices and increase the speed with which items are shipped to you.

"When you have something that you know is true," says Jeff, "even over the long term, you can afford to put a lot of energy into it."

What Else Won't Change?

My friend Tony Robbins often speaks about the six fundamental human needs.

My guess is that these too will remain constant as long as we humans retain our current neurochemistry.

The six basic human needs include:

1. Certainty: We need assurance that we can avoid pain and gain pleasure

2. Uncertainty/Variety: We have a need for variety, continuous change, and stimulus

3. Significance: We have a need to feel unique, important, and special

4, Connection/Love: We need a strong feeling of connection with people and we need to feel loved

5. Growth: We need to expand each of our own capabilities and capacities

6. Contribution: We need to contribute, and we need a sense of service and focus on giving back.

I'd also add a 7th to this list:

7. The individual's desire for more freedom: We will constantly be looking for ways to achieve more freedom in our lives. One great example of this is the shift that's happening in freelance work. From designers on 99Designs to Uber drivers to independent consultants, more and more people are choosing "freelance" career paths because doing so affords them freedom of time, location and association.

While these needs will remain constant, the way we fulfill them will change.

For entrepreneurs, to the extent that you can make achieving these basic needs easier or more fulfilling, people will preferentially adopt your approach.

Which leads me to another key idea…

We will always continue to adopt things that are 10x better.

As consumers, we will always adopt products and services that make our lives 10x better, easier or more fulfilling.

Despite the fact that we are generally resistant to change, when the perceived change of a new product is an order of magnitude better, we predictably make the jump and never look back.

This means that solving problems and creating value will always be in demand – and entrepreneurs are primed to do just this.

What Are Your Ideas?

If you've followed my blog or any of my work, you know that I believe that a LOT is going to change, driven by accelerating technologies, in the very near future.

I'd love to know what YOU think won't change.

Tweet your ideas to me @peterdiamandis with the hashtag #notchanging.

Join Me

This is the sort of conversation we explore at my 250-person executive mastermind group called Abundance 360.

The program is highly selective. If you'd like to be considered, apply here. Share this with your friends, especially if they are interested in any of the areas outlined above.

P.S. Every week I send out a "Tech Blog" like this one. If you want to sign up, go to Diamandis.com and sign up for this and Abundance Insider.

P.P.S. My dear friend Dan Sullivan and I have a podcast called Exponential Wisdom. Our conversations focus on the exponential technologies creating abundance, the human-technology collaboration, and entrepreneurship. Head here to listen and subscribe: a360.com/podcast


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Friday, July 1, 2016

Fwd: Abundance Insider: July 1 Edition

In this week's Abundance Insider: Raptor-like household robots, salt-sized 3D printed cameras, and the next generation of AI fighter pilots.

Cheers,
Peter, Marissa, Cody, Maxx, Kelley, Greg, Andrew, and Alex

P.S. Send any tips to data@diamandis.com, and send your friends and family to this link to subscribe to Abundance Insider.

Boston Dynamics' Spot Mini Robot Can Handle Fragile Objects

boston dynamics spot mini

What it is: Boston Dynamics has just released video of its latest robot, Mini Spot, performing a variety of household tasks with ease: loading wine glasses into a dishwasher, climbing stairs and navigating around objects in a room. The video comes at an ideal time, as Toyota is reportedly in talks to acquire Boston Dynamics from Google. The Toyota Research Institute, a research arm of Toyota, is currently working on elder care robots.

Why it's important: Household chores -- especially activities like loading stemware into a dishwasher -- require a delicate touch. Mini Spot is a promising step forward in personal care robots that might one day help elderly family members retain their independence. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Cody Rapp

German Engineers Create Injectable Micro-Camera

injectable micro camera

What it is: Engineers at the University of Stuttgart in Germany have developed a 3D printed, three-lens camera small enough to fit inside a syringe. Their unique production method has sub-micrometer accuracy and is the first that can 3D print optical lens systems with two or more lenses. The compound lens is only 100 micrometers (0.1 millimeters) wide, and 120 micrometers with casing.

Why it's important: These lenses could become minimally intrusive endoscopes for exploring inside the human body. They could also be deployed into smartphones, security monitors, drones, robots and even human organs like the brain. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Bjorn Russell

New Artificial Intelligence Beats Tactical Experts in Combat Simulation

alpha ai flight simulator

What it is: A University of Cincinatti doctoral graduate has developed an artificial intelligence system called ALPHA that can outperform U.S. expert tacticians -- and other AI opponents -- in simulated aerial combat. Retired U.S. Air Force Colonel Gene Lee, who has been testing AI simulators since the 80s, called it "the most aggressive, responsive, dynamic and credible AI I've seen to date." The research team reports that ALPHA repeatedly beats human experts in flight simulators -- even when its speed, sensors, missile capability and turning are deliberately handicapped.

Why it's important: "The AI is so fast that it could consider and coordinate the best tactical plan and precise responses, within a dynamic environment, over 250 times faster than ALPHA's human opponents could blink," reports the University of Cincinnati. Perhaps most impressive of all: The computing power behind ALPHA isn't a supercomputer, but a humble Raspberry Pi, which retails for as little as $35. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Marissa Brassfield

Uber CEO: Beijing to Rival Silicon Valley in 5 Years

beijing silicon valley

What it is: At Summer Davos, the World Economic Forum's global meeting on innovation, science and technology held in Tianjin, Uber CEO Travis Kalanick aditted that China has been the easiest country to do business in, and could rival Silicon Valley in as little as five years. "We had regulatory resistance in over 70 countries around the world... When people asked what places have been easiest to do business, I surprise them by saying China," said Kalanick. Speaking of the government's Internet Plus initiative, which aims to deploy the tech sector into the more traditional areas of its economy, Kalanick added: "That embracement of innovation on the ground is resulting in an entrepreneurial ecosystem, especially in Beijing [a place] that I think ultimately rivals Silicon Valley in five years."

Why it's important: Peter has previously predicted that as technology continues to accelerate and its access democratizes, we'll see international borders begin to dissolve. By fostering entrepreneurship and digitization, China positions itself to attract more innovators and ultimately accelerate all areas of its slowing economy. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Marissa Brassfield

Solar Impulse 2 Completes World's First Solar-Powered Atlantic Flight

solar impulse 2

What it is: The Solar Impulse 2 recently completed the world's first solar-powered crossing of the Atlantic, landing in Seville after 4,200 miles and close to 3 days of straight flying time. The 100% solar-powered plane has massive 72-meter wings -- longer than a 747 -- covered with 270 square meters of photovoltaic cells. During the day, the cells power four 14kW (17.4hp) electric motors and charge four 41kWh lithium-ion batteries. When it's dark, the motors run on the batteries. Seville to Abu Dhabi is the final leg needed for the Solar Impulse 2 to circumnavigate the globe.

Why it's important: Bertrand Piccard, one of the two pilots, remarked, "It is symbolic because all the means of transportation have always tried to cross the Atlantic: the first steamboats, the first aeroplane, the first balloons, the first airships and, today, it is the first solar-powered aeroplane. But the goal is not to change aviation, as Charles Lindbergh did, but to inspire people to use [renewable] technologies and show people they can use these technologies every day to have a better quality of life." Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Alex Shahery

Anki's Next Smart Toy is an AI Robot Named Cozmo

anki cozmo

What it is: Anki engineers have created a playful AI-powered robot named Cozmo with a charming personality inspired by robots in animated films like Pixar's Wall-E. The palm-sized toy contains 300+ individual pieces that combine robotics, artificial intelligence and computer vision, which give it the capability to process more data per second than all the Mars Rovers combined. Cozmo interacts with its environment in organic (albeit unpredictable) ways, which gives it a virtually endless repertoire. It recognizes faces, plays games and stacks blocks, and will debut in the U.S. in October for $180.

Why it's important: Cozmo is cheaper, smaller and more personalized than robots with comparable performance. The toy is also an inspiring vision of how personal robots might act in the future -- and that's partially because its interdisciplinary design team combined the best practices from the worlds of animation, gameplay and robotics. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Alex Shahery

The Future of Work? This Article

space virtual reality

What it is: A new VR productivity app called Space, developed by the Shanghai-based firm Pygmal Technologies, pairs with HTC Vive or Oculus Rift to digitize your physical monitors in a virtual environment. In this beta version, up to six giant monitors float in front of the headset at a time, and the user can multitask between apps and windows by looking around or pulling browser windows into view.

Why it's important: Apps like Space allow us to longer be constrained by physical monitors and traditional workspaces. Pygmal Technologies founder Xiao Jia says that future versions of Space will enable real-time collaboration with fellow users, which could make it ideal for decentralized programming, creative or engineering teams. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Marissa Brassfield

Feeling Sick? Google Improves Search Results for Medical Symptoms

google medical symptoms

What it is: If you're one of the millions of people around the world who have consulted "Dr. Google" for health symptoms, the quality of your research results is about to improve. Google enlisted a team of doctors and medical experts at the Mayo Clinic and Harvard Medical School to, as Stat reports, "evaluate medical conditions based on a representative sample of searches." An algorithm that incorporates those evaluations, and the experts' suggested courses of action for each, will make it into U.S. search results for testing this week.

Why it's important: Previously, Google's search algorithms calculated a source's authority based on factors like site age and keyword density. This latest effort adds human expertise into the mix, and should hopefully give patients faster, easier access to better information. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Alex Shahery

A World Without Uber: Dispatches From Austin

austin uber

What it is: One month ago, citizens in Austin, Texas voted to force all drivers who work for a ridesharing company to pass a fingerprint-based background check. In response, Uber and Lyft decided to cease operation in Austin as of May 9, and this Vocativ article outlines the unusual aftermath as citizens and displaced drivers alike pick up the pieces: peer-to-peer "Request a Ride" Facebook groups, decreased bar sales, increased DUI and DWI arrests, and the challenges that new ridesharing apps are having in in onboarding drivers.

Why it's important: Peter has previously written about how regulation is the protection of last resort. While the government's role is typically to stabilize, Austin's ridesharing legislation is one example where regulation may unintentionally enable more dangers for its citizens than before. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Cody Rapp

What is Abundance Insider?

This email is a briefing of the week's most compelling, abundance-enabling tech developments, curated by Marissa Brassfield in preparation for Abundance 360. Read more about A360 below.

Want more conversations like this?

At Abundance 360, Peter's 250-person executive mastermind, we teach the metatrends, implications and unfair advantages for entrepreneurs enabled by breakthroughs like those featured above. The program is highly selective and we're almost full, but we're still looking for a few final CEOs and entrepreneurs who want to change the world. You can apply here.

Know someone who would benefit from getting Abundance Insider? Send them to this link to sign up.


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Monday, June 27, 2016

Fwd: data… world getting better


When I published Abundance: The Future is Better Than You Think in February 2012, I included about 80 charts in the back of the book showing very strong evidence that the world is getting better.

Over the last five years, this trend has continued and accelerated.

This blog includes additional "Evidence for Abundance" that you can share with friends and family to change their mindset.

We truly are living in the most exciting time to be alive.

By the way, if you have additional 'Evidence for Abundance' (Charts, Data, etc.) that you've encountered, please email them to me at data@diamandis.com.

Why This is Important

Before I share the new "data" with you, it's essential that you understand why this matters.

We live in a world where we are constantly bombarded by negative news from every angle. If you turn on CNN (what I call the Crisis News Network), you'll predominantly hear about death, terrorism, airplane crashes, bombings, financial crisis and political scandal.

I think of the news as a drug pusher, and negative news as their drug.

There's a reason for this.

We humans are wired to pay 10x more attention to negative news than positive news.

Being able to rapidly notice and pay attention to negative news (like a predator or a dangerous fire) was an evolutionary advantage to keep you alive on the savannahs of Africa millions of years ago.

Today, we still pay more attention to negative news, and the news media knows this. They take advantage of it to drive our eyeballs to their advertisers. Typically, good news networks fail as businesses.

It's not that the news media is lying -- it's just not a balanced view of what's going on in the world.

AND because your mindset matters A LOT, my purpose with my work and with this blog is to share with you the data supporting the positive side of the equation and to give you insight to some fundamental truths about where humanity really is going...

The truth is, driven by advances in exponential technologies, things are getting much better around the world at an accelerating rate.

NOTE: This is not to say that there aren't major issues we still face, like climate crisis, religious radicalism, terrorism, and so on. It's just that we forget and romanticize the world in centuries past -- and life back then was short and brutal.

My personal mission, and that of XPRIZE and Singularity University, is to help build a "bridge to abundance": a world in which we are able to meet the basic needs of every man, woman and child.

So, now, let's look at 10 new charts.

For more, I encourage you to read my book Abundance: the Future is Better than you Think, or apply to join me at Abundance 360 here.

More Evidence for Abundance

Below are 10 powerful charts illustrating the positive developments we've made in recent years.

1. Living in Absolute Poverty (1981-2011)

Declining rates of absolute poverty (Source: Our World in Data, Max Roser)

Declining rates of absolute poverty (Source: Our World in Data, Max Roser)

Absolute poverty is defined as living on less than $1.25/day. Over the last 30 years, the share of the global population living in absolute poverty has declined from 53% to under 17%.

While there is still room for improvement (especially in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia), the quality of life in every region above has been steadily improving and will continue to do so. Over the next 20 years, we have the ability to extinguish absolute poverty on Earth.

2. Child Labor is on the Decline (2000-2020)

Child Labor on the decline (Source: International Labor Organization)

Child Labor on the decline (Source: International Labor Organization)

This chart depicts the actual and projected changes in the number of children (in millions) in hazardous work conditions and performing child labor between 2000 and 2020.

As you can see, in the last 16 years, the number of children in these conditions has been reduced by more than 50%. As we head to a world of low-cost robotics, where such machines can operate far faster, far cheaper and around the clock, the basic rationale for child labor will completely disappear, and it will drop to zero.

3. Income Spent on Food

Income spent on food (Source: USDA, Economic Research Service, Food Expenditure Series)

Income spent on food (Source: USDA, Economic Research Service, Food Expenditure Series)

This chart shows the percent per capita of disposable income spent on food in the U.S. from 1960 to 2012.

If you focus on the blue line, 'Food at home,' you can see that over the last 50 years, the percent of our disposable income spent on food has dropped by more than 50 percent, from 14% to less than 6%.

This is largely a function of better food production technology, distribution processes and policies that have reduced the cost of food. We're demonetizing food rapidly.

4. Infant Mortality Rates

Infant Mortality Rate (Source: Devpolicy, UN Interagency Group for Child Mortality Est. 2013)

Infant Mortality Rate (Source: Devpolicy, UN Interagency Group for Child Mortality Est. 2013)

This chart depicts global under-five-years-old mortality rates between 1990 and 2012 based on the number of deaths per 1,000 live births.

In the last 25 years, under-five mortality rates have dropped by 50%. Infant mortality rates and neonatal mortality rates have also dropped significantly.

And this is just in the last 25 years. If you looked at the last 100 years, which I talk about in Abundance, the improvements have been staggering.

5. Annual Cases of Guinea Worm

Guinea worm cases (Source: GiveWell, Carter Center)

Guinea worm cases (Source: GiveWell, Carter Center)

Guinea worm is a nasty parasite that used to affect over 3.5 million people only 30 years ago. Today, thanks to advances in medical technologies, research and therapeutics, the parasite has almost been eradicated. In 2008, there were just 4,647 cases.

I'm sharing the chart above because it represents humanity's growing ability to address and cure diseases that have plagued us for ages. Expect that through technologies such as gene drive/CRISPR-Cas9 and other genomic technologies, we will rapidly begin to eliminate dozens or hundreds of similar plagues.

6. Teen Birth Rates in the United States

Teen birth rates (Source: Vox, Centers for Disease Control)

Teen birth rates (Source: Vox, Centers for Disease Control)

The chart above shows the dramatic decline in the number of teen (15 to 19 years old) birth rates in the United States since 1950. At its peak, 89.1 out of 1,000 teenage women were giving birth. Today, it's dropped under 29 out of 1,000.

This is largely a function of the population becoming better educated, the cost of birth control being reduced and becoming more widely available, and cultural shifts in the United States.

7. Homicide Rates in Western Europe

Homicide rates in Europe (Source: Our World in Data, Max Roser & Manuel Eisner)

Homicide rates in Europe (Source: Our World in Data, Max Roser & Manuel Eisner)

The chart above shows the number of homicides per 100,000 people per year in five Western European regions from 1300 to 2010.

As you can see, Western Europe used to be a very dangerous place to live. Over the last 700+ years, the number of homicides per 100,000 people has decreased to almost zero.

It is important to look back this far (700 years) because we humans lose perspective and tend to romanticize the past, but forget how violent life truly was in, say, the Middle Ages, or even just a couple of hundred years ago.

We have made dramatic and positive changes. On an evolutionary time scale, 700 years is NOTHING, and our progress as a species is impressive.

8. U.S. Violent Crime Rates, 1973 - 2010

U.S. violent crime rates (Source: Gallup, Bureau of Justice Statistics)

U.S. violent crime rates (Source: Gallup, Bureau of Justice Statistics)

In light of the recent terrorist shooting in Orlando, and the school shootings in years past, it is sometimes easy to lose perspective.

The truth is, in aggregate, we've made significant progress in reducing violent crimes in the United States in the last 50 years.

As recent as the early 80s and mid-90s, there were over 50 violent crime victims per 1,000 individuals. Recently, this number has dropped threefold to 15 victims per 1,000 people.

We continue to make our country (and the world) a safer place to live.

9. Average Years of Education, 1820-2003

Average years of education (Source: Our World in Data, Max Roser)

Average years of education (Source: Our World in Data, Max Roser)

I love this chart. In the last 200 years, the average number of 'years of education' received by people worldwide has increased dramatically.

In the U.S. in 1820, the average person received less than 2 years of education. These days, it's closer to 21 years of education, a 10X improvement.

We are rapidly continuing the demonetization, dematerialization and democratization of education. Today, I'm very proud of the $15 million Global Learning XPRIZE as a major step in that direction.

Within the next 20 years, the best possible education on Earth will be delivered by an AI, for free -- and the quality will be the same for the son or daughter of a billionaire as it is for the son or daughter of the poorest parents on the planet.

10. Global Literacy Rates

Global literacy rates (Source: Our World in Data, Max Roser)

Global literacy rates (Source: Our World in Data, Max Roser)

Along those same lines, the extraordinary chart above shows how global literacy rates have increased from around 10% to close to 100% in the last 500 years.

This is both a function of technology democratizing access to education, as well as abundance giving us the freedom of time to learn.

Education and literacy is a core to my Abundance thesis – a better-educated world raises all tides.

Again, if you have other great examples of abundance (charts and data), please send them to me at data@diamandis.com.

We live in the most exciting time to be alive! Enjoy it.

Join Me

This is the sort of conversation we explore at my 250-person executive mastermind group called Abundance 360.

The program is highly selective. If you'd like to be considered, apply here. Share this with your friends, especially if they are interested in any of the areas outlined above.

P.S. Every week I send out a "Tech Blog" like this one. If you want to sign up, go to Diamandis.com and sign up for this and Abundance Insider.

P.P.S. My dear friend Dan Sullivan and I have a podcast called Exponential Wisdom. Our conversations focus on the exponential technologies creating abundance, the human-technology collaboration, and entrepreneurship. Head here to listen and subscribe: a360.com/podcast


If you wish to stop receiving our emails or change your subscription options, please Manage Your Subscription
PHD Ventures , 800 Corporate Pointe, Suite 350, Culver City, CA 90230


Friday, June 24, 2016

Fwd: Abundance Insider: June 24 Edition


In this week's Abundance Insider: 3D printed hair, self-driving "cognitive" vehicles, and buying cars in virtual reality.

Cheers,
Peter, Marissa, Cody, Maxx, Kelley, Greg, Andrew, and Alex

P.S. Send any tips to data@diamandis.com, and send your friends and family to this link to subscribe to Abundance Insider.

How to 3D Print Hair, Brushes and Fur

3d print hair brushes fur            cilllia software

What it is: MIT Media Lab researchers have created a new software platform that enables users to model and 3D print hairlike structures with unprecedented ease and efficiency. Instead of existing modeling methods, which involve using CAD software to draw hairs one by one, users just input the desired height, angle, density and thickness of the strands into the Cilllia software and then let the program go to work. Within minutes, the researchers were able to design and print arrays like fine fur, coarse bristles and Velcro-like hairs -- a feat previously far too complex to consider.

Why it's important: This 3D modeling method enables designers to create alternative actuators and sensors that could lead to truly interactive everyday objects. Imagine a 3D printed child's toy that illuminates a different color based on how the child interacts with it, or 3D printing your own sensor-equipped toothbrush. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Marissa Brassfield

First Self-Driving Cognitive Vehicle Uses IBM Watson Internet of Things

self driving cognitive vehicle

What it is: Local Motors, a crowdsourced car-design platform and creator of the world's first 3D-printed car, has developed the first self-driving "cognitive" vehicle. The 12-passenger vehicle, dubbed Olli, uses IBM's new Watson Internet of Things system to process data from 30+ sensors in the vehicle and enable passengers to interact with the vehicle using natural language. KurzweilAI reports that Olli can discuss topics such as "how the vehicle works, where they are going, and why [the car] is making specific driving decisions." Olli is currently running in Washington, D.C. with launches planned for Miami-Dade County and Las Vegas later this year.

Why it's important: Olli is another example of the power of converging exponential technologies -- in this case, AI, sensors and robotics. This convergence enables "unparalleled, customized experiences for customers, taking advantage of the massive amounts of streaming data from all devices connected to the Internet of Things, including an automobile's myriad sensors and systems," said Harriet Green of IBM Watson Internet of Things. Another benefit: Because Local Motors will produce the car in its micro factories, they're able to make performance tweaks and other improvements every time they build a new Olli vehicle. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Marissa Brassfield

An AI Wrote This Movie (And It's Strangely Moving)

sunspring

What it is: "Sunspring" is a short sci-fi film -- complete with an original musical interlude -- written and composed entirely by an AI. In this article, Ars Technica, which exclusively debuted "Sunspring," describes the unusual creative process, which involved training Benjamin with dozens of 80s and 90s sci-fi screenplays and some 30,000 pop songs for the musical interlude. It beat out hundreds of other entries in the Sci-Fi London contest, ultimately placing in the top 10.

Why it's important: This article -- and the interview with the film's creators -- offers a fascinating glimpse into what the collaboration processes of the future might feel like. What creative work would you be able to produce if you were able to feed an AI hundreds or thousands of your favorite data points for inspiration, and interface with that AI as your digital brainstorming partner? Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Gaetan Soltesz

Elon Musk's Next Goal: Create a Robot to Do Your Chores

elon musk robot chores openai

What it is: In a post this week on the OpenAI blog, Elon Musk, Y Combinator's Sam Altman, and OpenAI team members Ilya Sutskever and Greg Brockman announced their plans to build a general-purpose robot that can perform basic housework using artificial intelligence and natural language commands. OpenAI's stated goal is to "advance digital intelligence in the way that is most likely to benefit humanity as a whole, unconstrained by a need to generate financial return."

Why it's important: Musk and Altman have each publicly expressed the idea that artificial intelligence poses significant threats to humanity's future. In supporting OpenAI's robot project and overall mission, they channel these concerns in a constructive way -- and align themselves with others who want to fundamentally shape the future of artificial intelligence. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Peter Diamandis

Gates Says Altered Mosquito Is Next Weapon to Fight Malaria

malaria engineered mosquitoes

What it is: At a conference for the American Society for Microbiology in Boston, Bill Gates said that genetically engineered mosquitoes equipped with "gene drive" could help bring an end to malaria. In normal reproduction, 50 percent of a parent's gene are passed to offspring, but with gene drive, an engineered DNA segment can be passed on to nearly 100 percent of offspring -- dramatically increasing the rate a gene spreads. While Gates said that gene drives are still three to five years away from being "extremely beneficial," he also cited another mosquito project that involves infecting mosquitoes with a bacterium called Wolbachia, rather than genetically modifying them. That project has already been deployed in Australia and Indonesia, with possible large-scale deployment in Columbia and Brazil next year.

Why it's important: In contrast to fighting disease via vaccinations and antibiotics, these methods show that we can alter the offending carriers and diseases directly -- perhaps eventually rendering the problem of "superbugs" moot. Similar techniques might one day help humans become more resistant to certain diseases like zika and dengue. (Note: In other news this week, human trials were approved for genetic modifications to the immune system T cells in cancer patients, funded by tech billionaire Sean Parker's Parker Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy.) Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Mary Gower

Scientists Accidentally Create Nanorods That Harvest Water From the Air

nanorods water air

What it is: Researchers at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) have accidentally created carbon-rich nanorods that absorb water at low humidity and expel water at higher humidity -- the exact opposite behavior of any other ordinary material. The discovery happened when researchers analyzed their mistakes while trying to fabricate magnetic nanowires. "Now that we've gotten over the initial shock of this unforeseen behavior, we're imagining the many ways it could be harnessed to improve the quality of our lives," says David Heldebrant, who coauthored the research paper presenting these findings.

Why it's important: With such unique properties, these nanorods will have a wide range of applications. As a start, the PNNL researchers imagine this material used for low-energy water harvesting systems and sweat-removing fabrics. "Further research will examine the nanorods' chemical and physical properties," reports GizMag, "and determine if the method can be used in different nanomaterials to collect other liquids, such as methanol." Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Aryadeep S. Acharya

Silicon Valley's Audacious Plan to Create a New Stock Exchange

long term stock exchange

What it is: "The Lean Startup" author Eric Ries has unveiled plans to build a new stock exchange called The Long-Term Stock Exchange (LTSE) to incentivize long-term thinking. Ries and his team are in early talks with the Securities and Exchange Commission and plan to file a draft application later this year. LTSE's three key reforms are (1) reconstructing executive pay so that it's not tied to short-term stock performance, (2) encouraging companies and investors to share more information, such as R&D spending and (3) redesigning investor voting rights.

Why it's important: According to Ries, the frantic pressure to meet quarterly targets of traditional stock exchanges means that "going public will mean the end of your ability to innovate." LTSE could profoundly improve our ability to efficiently allocate the world's human, capital and natural resources. And by incentivizing long-term strategic planning, LTSE could help public companies stay in business longer. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Alex Shahery

Paul Allen Making the Largest Plane Ever for Stratolaunch

stratolaunch

What it is: Microsoft founder Paul Allen has announced an audacious new project from his team at Vulcan Aerospace: Stratolaunch, an air-launch platform that will be able to take a giant carrier aircraft into cruising altitude and release a satellite-bearing launch vehicle. The carrier aircraft alone will be an impressive engineering feat: Allen reports that its wingspan alone will be the length of a football field, with the ability to carry up to 550,000 pounds of payload.

Why it's important: Paul Allen has a track record of making history -- after all, this is the same man who teamed up with Burt Rutan to build SpaceShipOne and win the Ansari XPRIZE. And because this operations setup will be more like a traditional passenger aircraft than for a spacecraft, Allen sees Stratolaunch as a platform that will offer space entrepreneurs shorter wait times, greater flexibility, lower costs, and increased opportunities to launch satellites into orbit. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Marissa Brassfield

DNA Shaping Up to Be Ideal Framework for Rationally Designed Nanostructures

dna nanostructures

What it is: Scientists at the U.S. Department of Energy's Brookhaven National Laboratory have discovered two new ways to create nanostructures, based on a self-assembly technique called DNA origami. "The first approach allows the same set of nanoparticles to be connected into a variety of three-dimensional structures," reports Science Daily. "The second facilitates the integration of different nanoparticles and DNA frames into interconnecting modules, expanding the diversity of possible structures."

Why it's important: With these two approaches, scientists can rationally design nanomaterials with combined or enhanced properties (e.g. optical, electric, magnetic). "For example, we could create targeted light-absorbing materials that harness solar energy, or magnetic materials that increase information-storage capacity," explains physicist Oleg Gang, who led the research. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Ian Pitchford

VR-Like 360-Degree Viewing Comes to the Car Market With Beepi

beepi 360 degree viewing

What it is: Used car marketplace Beepi has launched a virtual reality tool that lets potential buyers view a car in 360-degree scrollable views of the interior and exterior. The company sends trained inspectors to evaluate each car's condition and capture still photos, which are used to create an interactive, VR-like experience.

Why it's important: Beepi demonstrates a relatively early example of how virtual reality will dramatically improve the car buying and selling process. Expect VR to transform the consumer experience in a number of other industries, including real estate, retail, education and healthcare. Discuss on Facebook

Spotted by Marissa Brassfield

What is Abundance Insider?

This email is a briefing of the week's most compelling, abundance-enabling tech developments, curated by Marissa Brassfield in preparation for Abundance 360. Read more about A360 below.

Want more conversations like this?

At Abundance 360, Peter's 250-person executive mastermind, we teach the metatrends, implications and unfair advantages for entrepreneurs enabled by breakthroughs like those featured above. The program is highly selective and we're almost full, but we're still looking for a few final CEOs and entrepreneurs who want to change the world. You can apply here.

Know someone who would benefit from getting Abundance Insider? Send them to this link to sign up.


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Sunday, June 19, 2016

Fwd: the way we learn today is just wrong

The way we learn today is just wrong.

Learning needs to be less like memorization, and more like… Angry Birds.

Half of school dropouts name boredom as the No. 1 reason they left.

How do we get our kids to want to learn?

The blog is about why the future of education will be about flipping our current model on its head and about how key exponential technologies like AI, VR and gamification are going to drive a revolution in education.

For fun, here's a video summary of this blog.

https://youtu.be/BiK2MPeg8k4

From A's to Angry Birds

In the traditional education system, you start at an "A." And every time you get something wrong, your score gets lower and lower.

In the gaming world, it's just the opposite.

You start with zero, and every time you come up with something right, your score gets higher and higher.

It completely flips the way we currently learn, and it's addictively fun.

How addicting?

Over 155 million Americans play video games, and spend upwards of 3 billion hours per week engrossed in a game.

Think about what you do when you play a video game.

  • You observe a problem
  • You form a hypothesis
  • You test the hypothesis
  • You ultimately learn from the immediate feedback and you try it again.

It's the Scientific Method.

We need to make kids as addicted to learning as they are to gaming.

One strategy is to literally "gamify" learning itself.

FoldIt: A Brilliant Example of Gamification

One compelling example of combining gamification and learning is an application called FoldIt.

Proteins are the basic building blocks of your cells. For the longest time, predicting how a protein folds has been a very difficult problem. A group of graduate students asked the question: "Is the ability of the human brain able to predict protein folding better than a computer?"

In 2008, they created a game called FoldIt, in which a user gets a digital representation of protein and then begins to manipulate and fold the protein on the screen.

The lower the stress and strain on that protein molecule, the better their score.

Over 240,000 registered users signed up to play.

Brilliantly, it turned out that humans were much better at folding proteins than algorithms -- and it turned out that the best protein-folder was a woman who, during the day, was an executive secretary at a rehab clinic and, at night, became the best protein folder on the planet.

Gaming outperforms textbooks in every area. Pilots and surgeons trained on video games and simulations outperform those who are not. Customized gaming teaches creativity and innovation. Hours spent playing video games is associated with increased executive function in children. And so on.

So where is this all going?

The Future of Education – Personalized, Perfect & Free (Thanks to AI and VR)

Right now, online platforms like Khan Academy and Coursera have made a plethora of educational resources available 1) for free and 2) on demand, such that you can pick and choose what you learn and at what speed you learn it.

Khan Academy has delivered over 300 million lessons since it started in 2006, features 5,000 free instructional videos in 65 languages, and allows users to complete 4 million exercises every day – simply amazing.

In 2011, Stanford professor Andrew Ng decided to put his machine learning course online for free, thinking that maybe a few additional people would tune in with his students. Within days, 100,000 people had signed up to take the course.

We are already seeing technology democratize access to education – but soon the education itself will become even more powerful with the help of AI and virtual and augmented reality.

In the near future, artificial intelligence will be able to personalize learning platforms to each individual student.

The AI will have unlimited access to information and will deliver it at the optimal speed to each student in an engaging, fun way.

This AI will be freely available to everyone (just like Google), and the quality of the education will be higher than that which only the wealthiest people on the planet can afford today.

Then, add this to high-resolution, photorealistic virtual reality experiences and your kids will be voraciously consuming knowledge.

For example, rather than read about Julius Caesar in a history textbook, kids will put on their VR headset, and an AI-driven avatar of Julius Caesar himself will tell them stories as they walk around a virtual rendering of the Roman Coliseum.

Rather than try to learn about relativity in a physics textbook, students will be able to "ride" in a virtual spaceship alongside Albert Einstein explaining his thought experiments directly to them.

We are headed toward a future in which education is much better, more robust, and widely available than we can possibly even imagine.

A future in which the poorest child on Earth and the wealthiest child are both getting access to identical opportunities, orders of magnitude beyond what we have today.

Join Me

This is the sort of conversation we explore at my 250-person executive mastermind group called Abundance 360.

The program is highly selective. If you'd like to be considered, apply here. Share this with your friends, especially if they are interested in any of the areas outlined above.

P.S. Every week I send out a "Tech Blog" like this one. If you want to sign up, go to Diamandis.com and sign up for this and Abundance Insider.

P.P.S. My dear friend Dan Sullivan and I have a podcast called Exponential Wisdom. Our conversations focus on the exponential technologies creating abundance, the human-technology collaboration, and entrepreneurship. Head here to listen and subscribe: a360.com/podcast


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Thursday, June 16, 2016

Fwd: Nonverbal Communication and Leadership


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Jeff Wolf <jeff@wolfmotivation.com>
Date: Thu, Jun 16, 2016 at 5:09 AM
Subject: Nonverbal Communication and Leadership
To: Recipient <stevescott@leadershippoint.com>




Nonverbal Communication


Time to read: 3 minutes


Functions of Nonverbal Communication

It's vital to understand how we communicate, not just the meaning of the words we speak. As a leader or manager, you should explore how nonverbal communication serves many functions:

    Repetition. Gestures, such as nodding, serve to reinforce what's being said. A nod of the head is, in fact, one of the most universal gestures, understood across many cultures as an agreement or understanding between two people.

    Substitution. Substitution involves replacing a spoken word with a nonverbal cue. You can nod your head without saying a word or wave your hand instead of saying good-bye. You haven't uttered a word, yet you have communicated effectively.

    Complement. A smile or pat on the back can complement words of enthusiasm or praise.

    Accenting. You may accent a particular word in a sentence, such as "I am very disappointed in you!" A strong tone of voice dramatizes the message.

    Misleading or deceiving. Can you tell when an employee is lying? Detecting deception is usually based on nonverbal cues. Facial expressions, body movement, and tone of voice will often expose the truth versus lies in criminal investigations.

Improving Nonverbal Communication

Workplace communication, whether verbal or nonverbal, drives all activity between you and others.

So, how do you improve it as you listen to and speak with others?

Step 1: Watch yourself…and others. When communicating, focus on the use of your body. The goal is to increase the expressive nature of your body, when appropriate, with being overdramatic. Be aware that gestures are often more useful with groups such as in meetings and presentations. If a person's words fail to match their nonverbal cues, it's best to trust the nonverbal messages. Listen with your eyes. In most cases, the nonverbal message is more accurate.

Step 2: Maintain eye contact. Eye contact is crucial when speaking with anyone, particularly coworkers, superiors, or direct reports. It promotes trust and understanding. Try to increase eye contact when speaking with others, and see if they're making and maintaining eye contact with you. If someone avoids eye contact, you'll likely sense the person's discomfort or dishonesty. You can ease another's discomfort by asking questions that enhance communication.

Step 3: Work on your posture. Your mother emphasized the need to stand up straight and avoid slouching in your chair. As it turns out, Mom was giving you your first lesson in nonverbal communication. Posture is a nonverbal indicator of confidence level.

A gesture conveys a message by using one part of the body, whereas a postural shift involves the movement of the body as a whole. A closed posture (folded arms and crossed legs) indicates a closed personality and a lack of confidence. Open posture (arms spread in a relaxed manner) is a much more confident pose. Posture should also be in sync with conversations so you avoid sending mixed messages. When you're sitting behind your desk or at a meeting table, sit up straight. Don't slump; it conveys disinterest and inattention. Leaning back, or rocking back and forth in your chair, tells others you're bored. In contrast, leaning forward in your chair when listening to someone speak demonstrates active interest in both the person and conversations.

Step 4: Straighten your desk. A sloppy desk or office sends the message that you're disorganized and careless. Messy desks may be a symptom of a larger problem such as inefficiency, which stems from an inability to find files or other important papers. Disorganization creates stress and limits productivity. Instead of creating vertical piles on your desk, rely on to-do files that can be stored inside a drawer.

Step 5: Read your audience. If you're making a presentation, be aware of your audience's nonverbal communication. As your presentation progresses, watch for signs of slouching, yawning, or dozing off; this means you've lost their attention. If, on the other hand, the group is energized and interested, participants' body language may convey that they want you to ask for their thoughts and input. Learning to read a group's mood enhances your abilities as both a speaker and manager.

Step 6: Listen to your voice. Paralanguage, or paralinguistics, involves the various fluctuations in one's voice, such as tone, pitch, rhythm, inflections, and volume. These cues can have a powerful effect on communication. A loud or very forceful tone, for example, may convey a stronger and more serious message, as compared to softer tones. Sarcasm can also cause problems in the workplace. A manager's sarcastic tone creates stress because their tone (joking) is meant to contradict their words (hurtful or biting).

Step 7: Question yourself. Throughout the day, monitor your progress. Ask yourself the following questions about your performance: How was I perceived at the meeting? Could I have done something differently? Were people really interested and paying attention to what I was saying? Did I listen well to others? As you answer these questions, your self-awareness will increase.


Adapted from Seven Disciplines of a Leader

Contact us today to discuss how we can partner together to help develop your leaders: sevendisciplinesleadership@wolfmotivation.com, 858-638-8260 or www.wolfmotivation.com
Twitter: @JeffWolfUSA
Leadership Blog


Wolf Management Consultants
www.wolfmotivation.com